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		<title>Are You Paying Too Much for Financial Planning and Investment Management Advice?</title>
		<link>https://www.modelwealth.com/are-you-paying-too-much-for-financial-planning-and-investment-management-advice/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Donovan Sanchez, CFP®]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Oct 2023 14:46:10 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Are You Paying Too Much for Financial Planning and Investment Advice? Donovan Sanchez, CFP® Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Most financial advisors are compensated through commissions or by a fee based on a percentage of investment assets under their management. This article strives to help you better understand how the asset under management (“AUM”) fee structure works. [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com/are-you-paying-too-much-for-financial-planning-and-investment-management-advice/">Are You Paying Too Much for Financial Planning and Investment Management Advice?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com">Clear. Simple. Planning.</a>.</p>
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					<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Are You Paying Too Much for Financial Planning and Investment Advice?</h2>				</div>
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									<p><strong>Donovan Sanchez, CFP®</strong></p>								</div>
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									<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Most financial advisors are compensated through commissions or by a fee based on a percentage of investment assets under their management. This article strives to help you better understand how the asset under management (“AUM”) fee structure works.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Practices that operate under the AUM fee arrangement, regularly charge 1.5% on investment accounts with “smaller” balances (say $50,000) and 1% on accounts with balances up to $1,000,000.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Many individuals look at that 1% figure and don’t think too much about it. One percent, after all, is such a small number. </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Doing a little arithmetic may reveal otherwise. </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><b><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">When 1% is just too much.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">To determine whether a 1% fee is actually “worth it,” it’s necessary to explore the services being provided. After all, shouldn’t cost be tied to the service offering?</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Investment management services often include:</span></p><ul><li>Investment selection</li><li>Asset allocation and portfolio construction</li><li>Ongoing monitoring and rebalancing</li><li>Asset location (for tax purposes)</li><li>Behavior and accountability coaching</li></ul><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Financial planning services often include:</span></p><ul><li>Tax planning</li><li>Retirement planning</li><li>Education planning</li><li>Cash flow management</li><li>Debt reduction planning</li><li>Insurance planning</li><li>Estate planning</li><li>Student loan planning</li></ul><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">If these services are attractive to you, it can make sense to partner with a financial advisor. But what about the rules of arithmetic mentioned previously?</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">For someone with a $100,000 investment account receiving fiduciary financial planning and investment management advice, a 1.5% fee could be reasonable. The annual fee comes to $1,500. </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">But as the account grows, consumers should be thoughtful about the extent to which their fees grow as well. If the advisor is doing their fiduciary duty (acting in the best interest of clients), they should be providing best interest advice no matter the size of your account. If the service that you receive doesn’t change, should your fees?</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Here are some examples for you to consider:</span></p><ul><li>At a standard 1% fee, your $500,000 account is charged $5,000 per year. </li><li>At 1% your $1,000,000 account is charged $10,000 per year.</li></ul><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Suddenly that 1% fee doesn’t seem so small, does it? (Even with fee breakpoints, financial planning and investment management services become increasingly expensive as your account grows. I’ll let you do the math on accounts at the $2,000,000 and upward range.)</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">A reasonably informed consumer might shrug this off because “all financial advisors charge 1% on assets under management.” Yet while asset under management fees may be the traditional model under which financial advisors earn a living, a growing group of project-based and hourly advisors are offering services that aren’t based on your investment portfolio. </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><b><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Compensation drives concentration.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Humans are social creatures that respond to economic incentives. Understandably, the method with which advisors are paid influences their behavior, or at the very least, creates conflicts that they must navigate carefully in order to put your interests first. </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">For example, if a financial advisor tells you that their advice is “free,” be careful—there’s a reasonable chance that they are paid on commission from the sale of insurance or investment products. They will necessarily be focused on convincing you to purchase what they sell (at least eventually). If they don’t do this, they won’t get paid, and it’s hard to make a living and get ahead without earning money for one’s time and energy.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Similarly, compensation will influence the advisor that is paid based on a percentage of assets under management. If you engage in this fee arrangement, don’t be surprised if your advisor regularly brings up that outstanding 401(k) rollover that needs to be processed to your IRA (under their management), or focuses much of the planning conversation on your investments. This type of advisor increases their compensation when they can convince you to bring more assets under their management. </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">This focus on assets under management can create conflicts. In his book, <i>Financial Boot Camp</i> Dr. Jim Dahle of <i>The White Coat Investor</i> blog writes:</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left: 0.25in; line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><i><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Also be aware that even fee-only advisors can have biases and conflicts of interests. For example, if the advisor is only paid on a percentage of assets under management, they may recommend an IRA rollover that is ill-advised (which would increase assets under management), recommend against paying off student loans or mortgages (which would decrease assets under management), or recommend against investments that they would not manage such as real estate. (116) </span></i></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><b><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Some final thoughts.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">To date, many financial planning and investment management firms adopt compensation models that put advisor interest in direct conflict with their clients, or that can become excessively expensive over time. Ask yourself these questions:</span></p><ol><li>Do you really want your financial advisor to only get paid when they sell you a product (commission model)?</li><li>Do you really want your financial advisor’s compensation tied to the value of your investments (assets under management model)?</li><li>Is it <em>reasonable</em> to pay someone $10,000 per year (or more) for financial planning and investment management advice?</li></ol><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">This isn’t to say that it is <i>never</i> appropriate to engage financial service professionals if you answer in the affirmative to any of the above questions. For example, obtaining life and disability insurance generally entails working with someone who earns a commission on the sale of a product. (As an aside, while there are many ethical insurance agents, it’s still a best practice to go into an insurance conversation with an idea of the type of coverage you want to obtain—particularly as it relates to life insurance). </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Additionally, if the asset under management, project, or hourly fee is reasonable for the services being provided, then even significant fees can make sense. I’m thinking here about a $10,000+ fee for a particularly complicated, and time-consuming, planning situation.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">If you’re paying a five-figure sum <u>every year</u> for ongoing financial planning and investment management, however, it’s worth taking a few moments to carefully consider whether services provided add up to the cost being charged. After all, in most financial planning relationships, the heaviest lift is at the beginning to sort out an individual’s financial plan and create a path forward. What follows in future years may often be described as “maintenance” of the plan. </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Consider Dr. Dahle’s words from <i>Financial Boot Camp </i>once more: </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left: 0.25in; line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><i><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">No matter how you are paying your fee-only advisor, be sure to add up the total annual fee you are paying and then determine whether you feel you are getting that much value out of the relationship. Since high-quality financial advice and investment management services can be obtained for a four-figure amount per year, if you find you are paying $10,000 or more, I highly recommend you negotiate a lower fee with the advisor, switch advisors, or learn how to manage your own investments. (116)</span></i></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">The thoughtful individual recognizes that if additional value is obtained by paying a higher fee, it may be worthwhile. But when comparable services are offered for reduced rates, what purpose is there in paying higher fees? </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">For those in search of independent advice for a fair price, they should explore the growing group of financial advisors who charge based on project, hourly, or flat annual fees.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><i><u><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Disclaimer</span></u></i><u><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">:</span></u></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><i><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">This content is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as personalized advice. Your unique situation needs to be considered, and the ideas presented here may not apply.</span></i></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial;"><i><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: black; letter-spacing: .15pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ligatures: none;">Please be sure to do your due diligence BEFORE implementing anything. Due diligence may include hiring a qualified professional who understands your situation completely and can offer you personalized advice.</span></i></p>								</div>
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		<p>The post <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com/are-you-paying-too-much-for-financial-planning-and-investment-management-advice/">Are You Paying Too Much for Financial Planning and Investment Management Advice?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com">Clear. Simple. Planning.</a>.</p>
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		<title>The Only Market Forecast Worth Standing By</title>
		<link>https://www.modelwealth.com/the-only-market-forecast-worth-standing-by/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Donovan Sanchez, CFP®]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2023 16:08:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Market Volatility]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.modelwealth.com/?p=3479</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Irving Fisher, one of America’s most celebrated economists, famously, and disastrously, stated that stocks had reached a “permanently high plateau.” He had the unfortunate timing of doing this right before the economic collapse of the great depression. On occasion, very smart people will follow in Fisher’s footsteps when they proclaim something about [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com/the-only-market-forecast-worth-standing-by/">The Only Market Forecast Worth Standing By</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com">Clear. Simple. Planning.</a>.</p>
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					<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">The Only Market Forecast Worth Standing By</h2>				</div>
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					<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Donovan Sanchez, CFP®</h2>				</div>
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									<p>Irving Fisher, one of America’s most celebrated economists, famously, and disastrously, stated that stocks had reached a “permanently high plateau.” He had the unfortunate timing of doing this right before the economic collapse of the great depression.</p><p>On occasion, very smart people will follow in Fisher’s footsteps when they proclaim something about the future with certainty. Perhaps financial advisors and the companies that they work for feel that clients expect them to have some sort of opinion on the direction of the market. Part of it, may stem from the belief that clients are paying their financial advisor so that they will somehow “beat the market.” This hope often isn’t realized.</p><p>While there are many opinions that one can have about the future direction of market movements, perhaps there is only one statement truly worth standing by: “I don’t know what will happen next.”</p><p><strong>Market fluctuations are impossible to predict in the short run</strong></p><p>As Irving Fisher’s comment suggest, even the brightest minds can be way off target. In his book, <em>A Random Walk Down Wall Street</em>, Burton Malkiel characterizes the short term variation in pricing of tradeable investments as (you guessed it), a “random walk.” What does this mean? It means that the market appears to move randomly without any pattern or inefficiency that we can chart out or capture in order to thereby “beat the market.”</p><p>This inability to predict the short-term movements and fluctuations of the market supports the prevailing superiority of “passive” index fund investing over active management. In other words, the <a href="https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/research-insights/spiva/">data</a> suggests, at least for now, that you’re generally better off trying to capture market returns through the purchase of broadly diversified index funds, than paying extra to fund managers who try to find investments that are going to outperform the market.</p><p><strong>The Efficient Market Hypothesis</strong></p><p>If you’re new to investing, or come from the school of active management, all of this might feel a little strange. And it begs the following question: “Why can’t a good fund manager or my financial advisor beat the market?” The answer is that a fund manager (or your financial advisor) may, in fact, beat the market on occasion. But it’s not the single year play that we’re thinking about. It’s the long-term statistical probability of any individual or company beating the market <em>consistently</em>.</p><p>There will be some that do it. The trouble is this: Was it luck or skill? So far, it appears that most of the time it has been luck. And if there are those that skillfully beat the market, there isn’t a reliable way to determine <em>who they will be beforehand</em>.</p><p>Eugene Fama, the American economist and recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences, is the father of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. In simple terms, the efficient market hypothesis is a theory that the market responds to new information quickly and efficiently, thereby making it impossible (or at least very difficult) to find inefficiencies to exploit and thereby “beat the market.” There are varying levels of agreement with this theory, and it’s quite controversial in modern finance.</p><p>Notwithstanding, there is merit to looking at the investment world through the lens of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. For example, the difficulty of beating the market on a consistent basis makes it practically impossible. And again, even if someone did do it, how would we identify that person beforehand? And how would we determine whether their outperformance was because of superior smarts, or simply dumb luck?</p><p>Better to admit that we don’t know with certainty which direction the market is going to go in the short run. And for what it’s worth, neither does anyone else.</p><p><strong>If I can’t predict the future with certainty, what should I do?</strong></p><p>If market fluctuations are impossible to predict in the short run with any real accuracy, what should you do about it? I have a few thoughts:</p><ol><li><strong>When you invest “in the market,” remember that you are investing in actual companies. </strong>It’s possible, and even likely, that some of those companies will fail for one reason or another. If you have too much of your investment holdings in that company, it’s going to hurt. The flip side of this is that if you spread out your investment holdings over enough companies, one bad apple won’t ruin the whole bunch.</li><li><strong>Invest for the long haul.</strong> While there are no guarantees in life, investors have historically been rewarded for sticking out the ups and downs of market performance over a long period of time.</li><li><strong>Invest in globally diversified index mutual funds and ETFs.</strong> Yes, invest “passively.” If you agree that short-term market fluctuations can’t be predicted consistently, then you see that it’s not very helpful to spend time trying to find the next “hot” investment.</li><li><strong>Focus on what you can control.</strong> Because we can’t consistently predict where the market is going in the short run, we ought to focus on things that we have greater influence and control over. For example, focus on keeping your investment costs low. Again, index funds can be very helpful here. As a start, check out your investment funds’ expense ratios.</li></ol><p><strong>Some Final Thoughts</strong></p><p>Perhaps this article comes as a surprise. Perhaps it doesn’t. The truth of the matter is that no one really knows what is going to happen in the short run. And in the long run, we are simply hoping for the best. This might sound like there isn’t much that a good financial planner can do to help, but that isn’t actually the case. For example, they can help you align your investments with your risk tolerance, guide you in selecting cost and tax-efficient funds to invest in, assist you in establishing a solid insurance plan, and help you design a retirement income strategy (just to name a few).</p><p>But the next time you hear an advisor, media commentator, or some other “expert,” start to expound on their predictions about the direction of the market, plug your ears and imagine them saying, “I don’t know what’s going to happen next” over and over and over again.</p><p><em><u>Disclaimer</u></em><u>:</u></p><p><em>This content is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as personalized advice. Your unique situation needs to be considered, and the ideas presented here may not apply.</em></p><p><em>Please be sure to do your due diligence BEFORE implementing anything. Due diligence may include hiring a qualified professional who understands your situation completely and can offer you personalized advice.</em></p>								</div>
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		<p>The post <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com/the-only-market-forecast-worth-standing-by/">The Only Market Forecast Worth Standing By</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com">Clear. Simple. Planning.</a>.</p>
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		<title>Knowing When You Have Enough</title>
		<link>https://www.modelwealth.com/knowing-when-you-have-enough/</link>
					<comments>https://www.modelwealth.com/knowing-when-you-have-enough/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Donovan Sanchez, CFP®]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Jul 2023 16:06:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.modelwealth.com/?p=2990</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Facebook Twitter LinkedIn “My love, how much money will be enough for us?” I asked this question to my wife rather seriously some time ago. Her reply: “The amount that we have right now.” To be honest, her reply took me off guard. It highlights one of the reasons why I love my wife, but [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com/knowing-when-you-have-enough/">Knowing When You Have Enough</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com">Clear. Simple. Planning.</a>.</p>
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					<h2 class="elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default">Donovan Sanchez, CFP®</h2>				</div>
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									<p>“My love, how much money will be enough for us?”</p><p>I asked this question to my wife rather seriously some time ago.</p><p>Her reply: “The amount that we have right now.”</p><p>To be honest, her reply took me off guard. It highlights one of the reasons why I love my wife, but it also got me thinking.</p><p><b>Beware the hedonic treadmill.</b><br />In <i>How To Think About Money</i>, <a href="https://humbledollar.com/about/jonathan-clements/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jonathan Clements</a> defines the “hedonic treadmill” or “hedonic adaptation” in this way: “We aspire to get that next promotion and, initially, we are thrilled when the promotion comes through. But all too quickly, we adapt to our improved circumstances, we take the new job for granted and soon we’re hankering after something else.” (21)</p><p>There are always more things to buy, and new things to have. But after our initial needs are met, we should question whether those extra purchases are going to bring us enduring happiness.</p><p>A few years ago I listened to a very perceptive <a href="https://www.kitces.com/blog/james-osborne-bason-asset-management-flat-fee-advice/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">interview</a> between James Osborne and Michael Kitces. One of the reasons why the conversation was so interesting is that James, unlike many entrepreneurs, took a different approach when he started his business. He attempted to identify what mattered to him, and then created a business to allow him to live out a version of success that he defined on his own terms.</p><p>During their conversation, James talked about something that he calls “upgrade-itis.” He relates it to cycling, but the argument can be applied to practically anything. There is always going to be something newer, prettier, or better. But as so many of us have learned, purchasing that newer, prettier, or better something might not matter all that much soon after we obtain it.</p><p>But it will be hard for you to maintain that sort of perspective. One of the reasons it’s so tough is that there are a lot of voices telling you what is important, and what you need. Think about all the information that you digest on a daily basis. So much information that you probably don’t have time to really process it—to really think about it.</p><p>So no wonder why so many of us blindly chase after things that don’t really make us happy, and that distract us from living our lives intentionally.</p><p><b>The importance of defining “enough.”</b><br />Many are familiar with the movie <i>Free Solo</i> in which Alex Honnold scaled El Capitan in Yosemite without a rope. To be clear, I’m certainly not advocating that his risk-taking endeavors be emulated. But when I saw him living out of his van, watched him eat straight from a frying pan with a spatula, and do his laundry with his feet while taking a shower, it got me thinking. We really don’t need all that much to cover our needs.</p><p>To avoid getting caught up in life’s distractions, it is important to define what is “enough” for you. Your value to society and those around you is not dependent on the fact that you earn more or less than your neighbor. This is good news because there will always be people making more money than you are. But if you don’t define “enough,”, you might find that you pass through a lot of life chasing after the wrong things.</p><p>And it won’t necessarily be easy to define “enough” at first. You will need something to record your thoughts so that you can capture them as they come—because they will pop into your mind when you least expect it. I have a simple document where I capture my ideas and organize them.</p><p>But simply capturing your thoughts won’t be sufficient because over time you will forget what “enough” means to you, and what you want your life to be like. For that reason you will need to schedule time on a regular basis (I like to shoot for every week) to read this document. Consider it your VISION for what you want life to be like. Add thoughts to your document when they come to your mind so that the document lives and evolves over time.</p><p>You don’t have to know what your ideal life is from the beginning. You’ll learn what it is as you go—but you do need something to remind you on a regular basis what you actually care about. Otherwise you’ll find yourself chasing after things that aren’t important to you, but that people tell you should be important to you.</p><p><b>Understanding what makes you happy.<br /></b>What is it that you value? I’ve given some thought to this personally, and I include it in my vision document. Some of the things that make me happy include spending time with my family, independence and autonomy, time to read and to think, and the opportunity to learn.</p><p>Is an extra $100,000 a year worth sacrificing those things?</p><p>No.</p><p>While the items I listed above are important to me, what is important to you may be very different. And that’s totally fine.</p><p><b>Some final thoughts.</b><br />Kurt Vonnegut wrote an <a href="https://medium.com/@bobsutton/kurt-vonnegut-joe-heller-and-a-thanksgiving-message-8a31ca397888" target="_blank" rel="noopener">impactful poem</a> about <i>Catch-22</i> writer, Joseph Heller. Here’s how it reads:</p>								</div>
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									<p>“Joe Heller”<br>
True story, Word of Honor:<br>
Joseph Heller, an important and funny writer<br>
now dead,<br>
and I were at a party given by a billionaire<br>
on Shelter Island.<br>
I said, “Joe, how does it make you feel<br>
to  know that our host only yesterday<br>
may have made more money<br>
than your novel ‘Catch-22’<br>
has earned in its entire history?”<br>
And Joe said, “I’ve got something he can never have.”<br>
And I said, “What on earth could that be, Joe?”<br>
And Joe said, “The knowledge that I’ve got enough.”<br>
Not bad! Rest in peace!</p>								</div>
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									<p>A lot of people are telling you what is “important” and that you don’t have enough. How about you define what is important to you, and then inscribe that on your heart so that you will always remember it, and so that you will know when you have enough.<br></p>								</div>
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									<p><em><u>Disclaimer</u></em><u>:</u></p><p><em>This content is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as personalized advice. Your unique situation needs to be considered, and the ideas presented here may not apply.</em></p><p><em>Please be sure to do your due diligence BEFORE implementing anything. Due diligence may include hiring a qualified professional who understands your situation completely and can offer you personalized advice.</em></p>								</div>
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		<p>The post <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com/knowing-when-you-have-enough/">Knowing When You Have Enough</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.modelwealth.com">Clear. Simple. Planning.</a>.</p>
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